Winklevoss suggests rally not driven by retail FOMO but by ETF demand
ETF investments described as “sticky HODL-like capital”
Market cap exceeded $1.6 trillion
Some analysts predict potential rise to $100,000+
Bitcoin has surged past $80,000, marking a new all-time high, but the driving force behind this rally appears different from previous bull runs.
According to Gemini co-founder Cameron Winklevoss, the current price surge isn’t fueled by retail investors’ fear of missing out (FOMO), but rather by steady demand from Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).
On November 11, 2024, Bitcoin reached $80,974, pushing its market capitalization above $1.6 trillion. This milestone comes amid growing institutional interest in cryptocurrency through regulated investment vehicles like ETFs.
Winklevoss shared his insights on the social media platform X, explaining that ETF investments represent a more stable form of capital.
“People buy ETFs, they don’t sell them. This is sticky HODL-like capital. Floor keeps rising,” he wrote, referring to the term “HODL,” a popular crypto community phrase meaning to hold onto assets for the long term.
The road to $80k bitcoin was paved with steady ETF demand. Not retail FOMO. Little fanfare.
People buy ETFs, they don’t sell them. This is sticky HODL-like capital. Floor keeps rising.
Where are we in the cycle? We just won the coin toss, innings haven’t started.
The nature of ETF investments differs from traditional retail trading patterns. ETFs allow investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through traditional investment accounts, making it easier for institutional investors and retirement accounts to participate in the crypto market.
This institutional-driven rally marks a departure from previous Bitcoin bull runs, which were often characterized by retail investor excitement and speculation. The current movement suggests a more mature market with stronger fundamentals.
The absence of retail FOMO in the current rally could indicate potential for further price increases when individual investors return to the market. However, Winklevoss did not specify when this retail participation might occur.
Some market analysts share Winklevoss’s optimistic outlook. Dan Tapiero, CEO of 1RoundTable Partners, has projected that Bitcoin could reach $350,000 in the long term. Other analysts have set their sights on the $100,000 mark as a nearer-term target.
The steady ETF demand has created what appears to be a more sustainable price floor for Bitcoin. Unlike retail trading, which can be more volatile and sentiment-driven, ETF investments typically represent longer-term positions.
However, not all market observers share this uniformly bullish outlook. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju has identified potential risks in the Bitcoin futures market. On November 9, he warned about “overheated” indicators that could trigger a correction.
According to Ju’s analysis, Bitcoin’s price could potentially drop to $58,974 before continuing its upward trajectory. This highlights the importance of considering both bullish and bearish scenarios in the current market environment.
The role of ETFs in the crypto market has grown substantially since their introduction. These investment vehicles have provided a bridge between traditional finance and the crypto ecosystem, allowing more conservative investors to gain Bitcoin exposure through regulated channels.
Trading data shows Bitcoin maintaining strong performance above the $80,000 level, with steady volume across major exchanges. This price level represents a new psychological barrier for the market.
Market observers note that the current rally appears more orderly than previous bull runs, with fewer dramatic price swings and more consistent buying pressure. This pattern aligns with Winklevoss’s assessment of ETF-driven growth.
The Bitcoin network has also shown robust technical metrics during this price advance, with hash rate and network security remaining strong. These fundamentals support the narrative of sustainable growth rather than speculative excess.
Current market dynamics suggest a shift in how Bitcoin price movements occur, with institutional capital playing a larger role than in previous cycles. The reduced influence of retail FOMO may indicate a maturing market structure.
This articles is written by : Nermeen Nabil Khear Abdelmalak
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By Nermeen Nabil Khear