TLDR:
- Polymarket trader Dicedicedice returned after six months, following a $119,964 profit on an Iran strike wager.
- Six wallets earned about $1.2M on Iran strike markets, prompting congressional scrutiny of trading controls.
- The trader’s new Trump AI wager hinges on formal presidential action, not remarks made at the United Nations.
- Polymarket’s September 30 Trump AI market showed about 60% implied odds and roughly $787,000 in volume.
A Polymarket trader who earned about $120,000 on a February Iran Strike wager has returned after more than six months of inactivity. Blockchain analytics account Lookonchain flagged the activity on September 29, identifying the trader as “Dicedicedice.”
The latest position targets a Trump AI market. The account previously drew attention after profiting from a contract asking whether the United States would strike Iran by February 28. That trade later triggered scrutiny.
February Iran Strike Win Put Trader Under Scrutiny
According to reports, Dicedicedice bought 149,955 “Yes” shares at 20 cents before the February 28 U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran. The position generated a net profit of $119,964, equal to roughly a 400% return.
That result placed the trader among several closely watched accounts. Bubblemaps later identified six wallets that collectively earned about $1.2 million from Iran Strike contracts. Several wallets were newly funded before placing concentrated bets.
Those patterns prompted lawmakers to examine whether prediction-market participants could be trading with nonpublic information. However, no public evidence established wrongdoing by Dicedicedice.
Likewise, no evidence has shown that the Polymarket trader held classified information, worked for the U.S. government, or committed insider trading. The attention widened in May when the House Oversight Committee opened an investigation into how Polymarket and Kalshi monitor unusual trading activity.
Separately, the CFTC fined a former White House teleprompter operator for using advance access to presidential speeches while trading event contracts on regulated markets.
Trump AI Bet Faces a Stricter Deadline Test
Meanwhile, the trader’s new position concerns Polymarket’s “Trump renames AI by September 30?” contract, which centers on formal presidential action rather than public remarks. President Donald Trump said at the United Nations on September 22 that U.S. government documents would use “super intelligence” instead of “artificial intelligence.”
However, Polymarket’s rules require an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that formally directs the change before the market can resolve positively. In the supplied September 29 snapshot, the Trump AI contract showed about a 60% implied probability and roughly $787,000 in trading volume.
That rule creates a clear distinction between Trump’s statement and the action required by the contract as the September 30 deadline approaches. Dicedicedice’s return has therefore attracted attention because of the trader’s February record, not because the new wager proves access to privileged information.
The identity behind the wallet remains unknown, while the basis for the latest Trump AI position has not been made public.
The post Polymarket Trader Who Made $120K on Iran Strike Bet Returns With Trump AI Wager appeared first on Blockonomi.
This articles is written by : Nermeen Nabil Khear Abdelmalak
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